After 4,516 NFL Mock Drafts Here’s What We Know

With the NFL Draft underway, we at Sports Riot have been hard at work calculating 4,516 mock drafts in order to predict precisely what will happen this weekend. Here’s what we found.

If mock drafts 3, 17, 957, 4444, and 12 are telling us the truth, then all of us should expect the first 30 picks in the draft to be tight ends out of New Hampshire. If they’re wrong, however, like mock drafts 6, 74, 111, 3482, and 53 say they will be, then what we should really be looking for is a trade at some point during the second round in which a blocking dummy will be swapped for two Gatorade coolers and a 2028 sixth-rounder.

That said, the combined percentage of either of those events taking place is only 0.22%. The much more likely statistical occurrence – which played out in 76.52% of our scenarios – is that the city of Buffalo, long fed up with the performance of their team, will draft their current starting quarterback, Josh Allen, with their first pick. While it’s hard to see how this benefits them going forward, Bills fans say the vote of confidence is exactly what Allen needs to take the next step. 

Out of all our mocks, 143 stands out the most. While it may be a statistical anomaly, it does offer hope to some NFL fans, as it is the only possible iteration of this draft that shows the Browns, Bengals, and Dolphins drafting good players who will help their teams.